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DOW
update chart.
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/40497882/dow_1hrWaves_6July.JPG
WaveSurfer wrote: personal view point is dow has made an intwave 4 bottom and now intV of Major 3 of Primary 3 in progress.
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/40497882/dow_1hrWaves_4July.JPG
Rgds WS
WaveSurfer wrote: Dow futures hit within a few pips to the target initial target level 14848, if this level gets smashed through then 870 /900 next up.
WaveSurfer wrote: If the dow can continue to at least rally to 14900+ or spx 1604 then likely the low has been put in and will likly confirm a wave iv low @549
Watch >590 >652 > 680 > 714 > 752/4 > 848 area on Dow today...
cheers WS
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dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/DJ%20INDUSTRIAL%20AVG.png
An alternate ....
Just a word of warning.. Not saying this will happen. Hope it bursts thru 15,200 without stopping
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I'm not sure this has retraced fully as it didn't quite reach 38.2 fib at 14,527. The target should be 50%. There is a chance this will retrace from the trendline, circa 15,190 - 15,200 and drop back to 14,200ish. Action at the trend will be defining...
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For the last 2 nights I have been busting my balls with possible EWT counts for the DOW.
I had one last night that looked valid to me, however, in hindsight, I wasn't thinking about moves within moves, or primary/Cycle moves more to the point.
I was directed to go look again and come up with alternative counts. I frustrated myself because I couldn't look past my own bias - but I came in fresh tonight and had a look again. This is what I came up with.
If I am right, I believe we are currently in a sub wave 5 of a primary wave 3 - to be even more specific, I think we are in a minor wave 3 of a subwave 5 of a primary wave 3 if I understand it the way i think I do at the moment. You can see the minor wave on the Daily chart.
Now I know I could be wrong with the titles of primary/subwave/minor wave - but try to bear with me and understand the point im making is relevant. But if you can tell me the real titles, that would be great.
The only rules I use when looking at EWT are the 3 hard rules, being:
1.Wave 2 must not retrace more than 100% of wave 1
2.Wave 3 must not be the shortest wave
3.Wave 4 must not enter the zone of wave 1
Anyway, thought I would share here and see if I am on the right track. Looking at it, I feel confident it all fits - but as always, would love some feedback.
If it is indeed a correct count, I am honestly starting to see the power of EWT. Especially in moves that may seem frustrating to an inexperienced trader - having a look at the bigger picture, before scaling down can really really help to understand price action.
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the Power of 3
current count Minor 3 of intV of Major 3 of PIII
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/40497882/dow_weekly_waves.JPG
rgds WS
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Up to 542/557 level before a test of the 340/8 breakout and doji top now?
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